Proposes an event threshold with its rationale
A threshold marked proposed, with its reason, and regulatory figures only where cited
Can AI do this?
People still lead Few or none of the tested AI models showed they master this. 1 of 4 models in the current benchmark master it.
| Model | Tier | Probability of mastery | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| gemini-4-argon | Flagship | 99% | Mastered |
| gemini-3.5-flash-lite | Low cost | 50% | Not shown |
| gpt-6-luna | Low cost | 50% | Not shown |
| claude-haiku-5-5 | Low cost | 1% | Not mastered |
Mastered means a probability of at least 90% that the model has this knobit, estimated from its graded answers. “Not shown” means the answers do not settle it either way. How the models are tested.
What it looks like in practice
Expected result: A threshold marked proposed, with its reason, and regulatory figures only where cited
How it is assessed: No threshold is presented as regulatory without a source
Related knobits
Builds on
All 15 knobits of Set event thresholds and alerts.
Source: Graded on its own by dii-event-thresholds